UAW-GM Contract Likely to Narrowly Pass

With more than 18,000 votes and 26,000 votes still left to be too counted, it appears that the UAW-GM will win narrowly. 

With 18,826 votes reported, the measure is ahead by 11,094 – 7,734.  26,000 voters are still eligible- a full tally of the votes can be seen here.  

I did a full twitter thread analysis here – some highlights: 

• GM workers in Bowling Green, Kentucky voted against the contract by 348 (y) to 497(n).
• Cleveland-area Parma, Metal Center workers narrowly passed the measure 438(y)-404 (n)
  
• Lockport auto supply workers, who remain on a different tier w/ wages capped at $23 an hour, voted overwhelming no. 234 (y) – 857 (n)
  
• Flint Truck Assembly Line workers gave the contract a huge boost – 2460 (y) – 1577 (n)
  
• Lansing Grand Assembly voted for the contract by a margin of 900 (y) – 308 (N)

My gut from conversations tells me that if these numbers hold true at larger assembly plants that its likely the contract will pass. GM is smart – they gave enough production pledges to certain location to pass the deal and those locations are voting for it overwhelming. 

Result will be known by Friday evening.

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