Datafolha: Lula 52% – Bolsonaro 48% – Pgh. Post-Gazette Strike Likely to Drag On – Kaiser Mental Health Strike

New polling shows that the race between Lula and Bolsonaro is very tight in the last 10 days of the campaign

Greetings from São Paulo, where Payday is interviewing labor leaders as they prepare for the final week-long push for Lula ahead of Brazil’s runoff presidential election on Sunday, October 30. 

Datafolha: Lula 52% – Bolsonaro 48% 

As election day approaches, many trade unionists in Brazil are nervous that Bolsonaro may still be able to pull off a victory. 

A recent poll by Datafolha shows Lula leading Bolsonaro by 52% to 48%. Another 6% of voters say they are undecided. However, many political observers have been skeptical of polls in Brazil as Bolsonaro has actively encouraged his supporters not to cooperate with pollsters.

Lula’s base of support tends to be among working-class voters, particularly workers of color in the country’s Northeast. Meanwhile, Bolsonaros’s base of support is among white middle-income voters in the country’s South and Southeast. 

With workers who make below two times the minimum salary of R$2,424 a month (the equivalent of USD $500), Lula leads 57% to 37%. Lula also leads by 67% to 29% among people in the Northeast of Brazil, and among those who identify as Black, 58% to 38%. 

Bolsonaro’s strongest base of support is in the whiter, wealthier Southern part of the country, where he leads 55% to 38%, and in the Southeast, where he leads 50% to 43%. His largest block of support is among evangelicals, which he leads 66% to 28%. 

For more on the poll, check out Datafolha. 

$325 Short of Meeting Payroll with 3 Days Left to Go

With polls showing a very tight race in Brazil, the next ten days of Payday’s coverage will be incredibly intense. I hope to focus on covering the race and not fundraising. 

In the last few weeks, I’ve had to fix a dead laptop, replace a stolen iPhone, and travel to three cities for field reporting. It’s been intense, and I hope to focus on writing and reporting, not fundraising, over the next week. 

Our payroll is due in three days, and we are $325 short. 

Please donate today to help us cover our payroll. Please sign up as one of our 735 recurring donors today if you can. 

Pittsburgh Post-Gazette Strike Likely to Drag On, Maybe for Months

Back in Pittsburgh, sources say it appears the strike at the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette will drag on for some time. 

The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette currently only prints two days a week. With printing press workers on strike, the Post-Gazette owners have been able to print the paper at the nearby Republican-owned Butler Eagle. 

With the need for print content only two days a week, the newspaper can operate its online site with a skeleton crew of editors, the 30% of remaining reporters left, and the usage of wire services articles. 

Additionally, the paper has already said it will seek to hire scab replacement reporters who may be tempted to take the jobs in an economy that’s been tough for reporters. 

The last major newspaper strike in Pittsburgh was with the Pittsburgh Press in 1992, which lasted seven months. It ended with the Pittsburgh Press closing and being sold to the owners of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, something that many fear could happen again. 

In September, the Columbia Journalism Review interviewed Post-Gazette owner John Robinson Block. In the interview, he describes the NewspaperGuild as people “who were wanting to come in and grieve the fact that their mother didn’t love them when they were five.” 

For more on the strike, check out WESA 

Kaiser Mental Health Workers End 10-Week Strike
In California, a ten-week-long strike by nearly 2,000 mental health workers has ended with the union and Kaiser reaching a tentative agreement. The contract still has to be ratified, and neither the union nor the company has yet to release details of it, but they applauded the settlements as a victory. 

“The new 4-year agreement will benefit Kaiser Permanente patients and drive collaborative efforts aimed at improving access to mental health care, while at the same time recognizing and better supporting mental health therapists in their important work,” the National Union of Healthcare Workers and Kaiser said in a joint statement on Tuesday.

For more on the strike settlement, check out the Mercury News.

Strikes & News Happening Elsewhere

Alright folks, that’s all for today. Please donate to help us continue to cover the Brazilian presidential election. Please, if you can, sign up as one of our 735 recurring donors today. 

Keep sending links, story ideas, comments, and tips to [email protected]

Thanks again for all the support, solidarity, & suggestions. 

Love & Solidarity, 


About the Author

Mike Elk
Mike Elk is an Emmy-nominated labor reporter and alumni of the Guardian. In addition to filing nearly 2,000 stories from 46 states, Elk traveled with Lula from Sáo Bernando do Campos all the way to the Oval Office in the White House. Credited by the Washington Post for being the first reporter to track the strike wave systematically, Elk started Payday Report using his NLRB settlement from being illegally fired for union organizing in 2015. He lives in his hometown of Pittsburgh and works frequently in Rio de Janeiro, where he attended college at PUC-Rio. He speaks both Portuguese and Pittsburghese fluently. His email is [email protected]

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